Baht could rise to 33 per US dollar
- Published: 6/07/2009 at 10:23 PM
- Online news: Breakingnews
The Thai baht, which has appreciated about 2.3 per cent against the US dollar during the first half of 2009, may strengthen further to 33 to the dollar late this year, according to a report issued by Kasikorn Research Centre.
The report said the baht - which ranked second in terms of Asian
currencies strengthening most among Asian currencies during the first
half of 2009, after the Indonesian rupiah, is expected to appreciate
further during the second half on the back of economy recovery in China
and other Asian countries, including Thailand.
Because of the
expected economic recovery in Asia, inflation may also take place in
the region later this year, which could force central banks, especially
China’s, to step up stringent monetary measures aimed at controlling
inflation in their countries, it said.
It is likely that the
baht would move in conjunction with other Asian currencies and could
test at Bt33.75 against the dollar and could even strengthen further to
33 baht by late 2009 if supportive factors continued, the report
indicated.
However, in the worst-case scenario, current
positive economic indicators seen in a number of other countries may
not be strong enough to push world economic recovery significantly.
This
may make Asian economies, including that of Thailand, to be in a
difficult position to recover and the Thai baht may soften to below
34 baht against the greenback, the report said.
The baht by late last Friday was at 34.06 against the dollar, compared to 34.07 baht per dollar the previous day.
Banks in Thailand closed last Saturday and will not reopen until Wednesday as the country marks two important Buddhist religious. (TNA)
