November exports up 10.2%, far above forecast

November exports up 10.2%, far above forecast

Customs-cleared exports surged in November thanks to higher demand from major markets, an encouraging sign for the trade-dependent economy.

Exports for the month jumped 10.2% year on year, Commerce Ministry data showed on Monday, compared with the median forecast for a 1.55% rise in a Reuters poll and October's 4.2% drop.

The percentage gain was the highest for a month since February.

Exports in November were valued at US$18.91 billion and imports $17.37 billion.

Higher global oil prices helped lift demand for Thai oil-related goods in November and overall shipments should increase this year, a ministry official told a briefing. 

Imports in November increased 3.0% from a year earlier. Economists had expected a fall of 1.05% after a rise of 6.5% in October. The November figures produced a trade surplus of $1.54 billion, triple the expectation for a $500 million one.

Exports by the farm and agro-industrial sector expanded 12.7% in November, and exports of industrial products rose by 9.8%.

Japan had become the market with strongest growth at 22.5% in November, followed by China at 22%. The 15 European countries saw  growth of 13.8% in the month.

For the 11 months, Thailand shipped a total of $197.162 billion, or 0.05% contracted from the same period of 2015. The imports over the period was $177.441 billion, down 5.1%. This resulted in an overall trade surplus of $19.72 billion.

Thai exports, worth about two-thirds of the country's GDP, have contracted the past three years.

The Bank of Thailand last week predicted exports would fall 0.6% this year and be flat in 2017. It maintained its GDP growth forecast at 3.2% for both this year and 2017. The economy expanded 2.8% last year.


Do you like the content of this article?
COMMENT (6)