PM predicts 'V' shaped growth | Bangkok Post: business

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PM predicts 'V' shaped growth

The Thai economy in 2012 is expected to recover in a "V" shape and gross domestic product growth should reach five per cent year-on-year, Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra said Wednesday.

Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra: GDP growth for 2012 should reach 5%.

"The government has set the economic growth target for this year at five per cent and believes that all economic sectors will be revived within the second quarter following the great flood last year," Ms Yingluck said.

In her keynote speech on “The Thai Economy in 2012” delivered to a seminar on "Decoding 2012 GDP”, organised at the Dusit Thani hotel by the Economic Reporters Association, she said the government had to issue an executive decree to seek 350 billion baht in loans in order to restore the confidence of foreign investors.

She said the government will rapidly implement flood prevention projects to restore the confidence of investors and prevent them from moving production bases to other countries.

The fund will be for financing mega-projects on water management and preventing a recurrence of last year's flood crisis. If the government fails to do this, foreign investors might move out their production bases from Thailand, she added.

Ms Yingluck said this year is the year of challenge, confidence restoration and joining forces among Thai people to rebuild the country.

She said the Thai economy relies too much on global economic growth. Exports accounted for 70 per cent of gross domestic product, while the remainder was from domestic consumption and government spending.

"Therefore, Thailand must prepare to deal with a possible global economic crisis. The government planned to strengthen the country's economic status by looking for other potential export markets," said the prime minister.

She said risk factors that could derail the country’s economic recovery included the fragile economy in the United States, the continuing debt crisis in Europe, the fluctuation of the currency exchange rate and unpredictable natural disasters.

These problems will definitely affect the country’s trade, investment and tourism, she added.

In order to minimise such negative impacts of global economic crisis, she said, Thailand will look for new export markets, such as the Middle East, India and member countries of Asean.

She said the government will try to conclude free trade agreements with other countries, including Australia, New Zealand, China and Japan.

The government has also planned to spend about 2.27 trillion baht  from this year to 2016 in infrastructure construction megaprojects. They will include the construction of highways linking Burma, Thailand, Laos and Vietnam. A transportation network linking Dawei port in Burma and Laem Chabang port will also be built, she said.

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Your comments

  • Discussion 6 : 01/02/2012 at 11:59 PM6

    Cost of living increased, then people will want pay rises to keep up with it. Neither party is good at economics. Will it happen here as has happened in the rest of europe? etc.

  • dao

    ThailandPost : 2,075

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    Discussion 5 : 01/02/2012 at 10:41 PM5

    The only thing Ive heard this government talk about is going into debt ,giving amnesty to Thaksin and paying its supporters out .Dont get me started on the flood .

  • Discussion 4 : 01/02/2012 at 09:04 PM4

    How about a course in economics 101 involving credits and debits. The economy is not growing if the government is borrowing money to cover debt. Remove all foreign exports sales of Japanese cars as the income is for Japan and not Thailand, then revise your economic forecast to the true value of

  • lazar

    ThailandPost : 1,261

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    Discussion 3 : 01/02/2012 at 08:38 PM3

    The government has set the economic growth target for this year at five per cent

    The US and Europe would give their high teeth for figures like this

  • Discussion 2 : 01/02/2012 at 07:44 PM2

    The parrott does not have a clue but her guess is as good as anyone.

  • Discussion 1 : 01/02/2012 at 07:32 PM1

    This is not what the Thai Chamber of Commerce predicts.

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