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This column covers "developing stories" meaning that you can expect additional stories on the same subject in the near future. The material that follows was written using much of the same language as your Bangkok Post writers use in their stories.

April 26, 2005


INTERNATIONAL

Time to pay attention

The British general election is only 10 days away




Prime Minister Tony Blair launches the Labour Party's 110-page, 23,000-word election manifesto April 13.EPA

May 5 is rapidly approaching, so it’s time to start paying attention to the news out of the UK - news apart from football, that is. On that day, all 646 members of the lower house of parliament (the House of Commons) will be up for grabs.

This election should be particularly interesting since Prime Minister Tony Blair is trying to lead his party to its third consecutive victory, a first in the country’s history for the party. And he is trying to do so against the backdrop of a very unpopular war effort in Iraq, opposed by many members of his own party. Some of them are openly saying they will desert Labour for an opposition party.

So, is it possible that May 5 may lead to a new prime minister, either Conservative Party leader Michael Howard or Liberal Democrat leader Charles Kennedy? Recent polls give virtually no chance to Mr Kennedy, but the Conservatives seem to be only a few percentage points behind.

That is very misleading say most analysts. In reality, Mr Blair’s Labour Party is likely to be much further ahead than the polls indicate. First, the party stars with a huge advantage. In the 2001 Labour secured a total of 412 seats. The Conservatives won 166, the Liberal Democrats 52 and 29 were won by other minor parties. Interestingly, Labour gained more than 60 percent of the seats despite having won only 41 percent of the vote.

The reason is that the UK obviously doesn’t not have a system of proportional representation. A candidate needs to win a constituency by a single vote to take a seat in parliament. Any many of the constituencies that traditionally favour Labour are quite small in population. Thus, Labour can win a lot of seats with relatively few votes.

The news in the UK over the past four years has not been all that bad either. The economy has done well and unemployment has fallen to its lowest level in nearly 30 years. Many British citizens also approve of what the Labour Government has done to improve some important public services, especially health and education. The war is less of a factor than it might have been because the Conservative Party has consistently supported the war effort.

One party that hasn’t is the Liberal Democratic Party and Mr Kennedy is making a big effort to attract war opponents. Watch to see how successful he is. The Conservatives, on the other hand, are trying to win votes by advocating a tighter immigration policy. With so many immigrants holding British citizenship, that may not be terribly successful.

All in all, most analysts expect Labour to win comfortably, but with a reduced majority. Watch to see if they are right.

Sensitive history

A little-used Japanese textbook sets off a storm of protests

Meanwhile, back here in Asia, the row between China and Japan over a junior high school history textbook, seems to be tapering off. The approval by a Japanese government screening panel of a new edition of the controversial New History Textbook, written by a group of Japanese nationalistic scholars, had set off violent demonstrations in several cities in China and threats of a widespread boycott of Japanese goods.

On Friday in Jakarta, Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi apologised profusely for the pain its troops had inflicted on neighbouring countries during the previous century. For its part, the Chinese government said it would no longer tolerate anti-Japanese protests.

Interestingly, the book in question is hardly used in Japanese schools. To date, less than 20 of Japan’s 11,000 junior high schools have adopted it. The rap against the book is that it attempts to rationalise Japan’s invasions of neighbouring countries as a necessary response to the pressures the country was under from outside forces, particularly the US. Also, according to the critics, it fails miserably to adequately mention Japan’s wartime atrocities.

The critics go on to say that while this book is the worst example, there is a general trend in Japanese history book to whitewash the history of the World War II period.

This is clearly a very sensitive issue, not just in China but throughout our region. Watch to see how government leaders try to normalise relations.



up for grabs
able to be won or lost

consecutive
following one after the other

backdrop
the general situation

desert
to leave

virtually
almost

misleading
giving the idea or impression

secured
obtained; won

proportional representation
a system where the number of parliamentary seats a party wins depends on the proportion (percentage) of the total vote it receives

constituencies
districts represented by a member of parliament

consistently
always behaving or happening in a similar way

advocating
supporting

immigration
coming to live in another country

tight immigration policy
a policy of strictly controlling who is able to come in live in a country

row
a noisy argument or fight

tapering off
to gradually become smaller and less frequent

controversial
causing strong disagreement

nationalistic
showing a lot of or too much pride in your own country

boycott
to protest by refusing to by a product or take part in an activity

profusely
giving or involving large amounts of something; in this case, apologies

inflicted
forced to experience something unpleasant

tolerate
to accept

rap
criticism

rationalise
to find reasons to explain your actions or behaviour

miserably
completely

atrocities
extremely violent, cruel and shocking actions

trend
a general development or change in a situation

whitewash
to make something bad seem acceptable by hiding the truth
 
LOCAL

Targeting the bombers

The government’s plan to require SIM card buyers to identify themselves is only part of the answer


A shopkeeper displays SIM cards for prepaid mobile phones. The government is tightening controls on purchase of the cards to head off use of mobile phones to detonate bombs by insurgents in the South. — Tawatchai Kemgumnerd

Few countries have adopted mobile phones with the enthusiasm of Thailand. It was only natural therefore that the government’s decision to require customers to show identification to purchase prepaid mobile phone SIM (subscriber identity module) cards would be a very big news item.

The reason for the new requirement is logical enough. Authorities want buyers to show identification cards and register their names with local phone operators to help security officials clamp down on the use of mobile phones to detonate bombs in the southern border provinces. The recent bombings in Hat Yai raised a national outcry and it was clear that something had to be done.

Many people have questioned, however, just how effective the government’s plan will be in combating remote controlled bombs. First of all, the deep South has a thriving black market in illegal SIM cards. Contraband mobile phones, many of them stolen, are easily available as well. People in that business are unlikely to require identification.

Separatist militants can also use Malaysia's mobile phone system to carry out their bomb attacks. Virtually all of the southern hotspots are within the Malaysia signal reception area. Finally, the sheer numbers involved make this a difficult operation to carry out. Thailand has 21.5 million existing prepaid users and millions are added each year.

In an editorial last week, the Bangkok Post supported the government’s plan despite the difficulties it will cause, but it also stressed that other measures are required. It is essential, the editorial said, that the government place much stricter controls on the use of explosives, particularly dynamite used by quarries.

“The recommended measures include daily checks on the inventories of quarries and possibly a complete ban on them storing explosives, requiring that they be allowed only enough explosives for their daily operations and must return any unused devices to a central storage facility,” the editorial said.

Of course, the only really effective measure in preventing the violence is to eliminate the social and political grievances that allow it to happen. That is the function of the National Reconciliation Commission (NRC) under chairman Anand Panyarachun. The NRC held a series of hearings over the weekend in the deep South. Check this week's front section to see what was accomplished


clamp down on
to take strong action to stop or limit a harmful activity

detonate

to cause to explode

outcry

a strong expression of public anger and disapproval

combating

fighting against

thriving
successfully growing or developing

contraband
of goods that are illegally brought into or taken out of a country

militants
people who are willing to use force to gain their aims

sheer
used to emphasis how great, important or powerful something is

quarries

large artificial holes in the ground where rock and sand are dug out for use as building material

measures
ways or methods for achieving something

inventories
the amount of goods or materials a business has in supply

ban

officially forbidding something from being done

eliminate

to get rid of

grievances

complaints or strong feelings that you have been treated unfairly


This lesson was prepared by Acharn Terry Fredrickson, BA Stanford, MA (TESL) University of Minnesota, Manager/Editor of the Learning Post at the Bangkok Post and general editor of this programme.

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Last modified: April 26, 2005