Looking for signs of progress

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Looking for signs of progress

  • Published: 7/04/2009 at 12:00 AM
  • Newspaper section: News

What is in a number? Many analysts have said it is the numbers that matter, that the future of the Red movement depends solely on whether or not it can draw up to 300,000 protesters tomorrow, as advertised by its leaders.

I disagree. I think numbers are not the whole point. After all, 300,000 seems totally haphazard. It does not signify a critical mass, nor does it present a form of majority or any kind of popular consent. For me, the issue is not how big the Red Surge will be (of course, if there are 30 million red shirts out there then it's another story); the issue, rather, is that the rally has woken up a "Red Spirit." It has broken a glass ceiling, a taboo. It put an idea into people's minds, that it is okay to challenge what has long been held as a given. That is a much more important notion for us to be aware of, than speculating about the size of tomorrow's crowd.

Like it or not, Thaksin's audacious attack on members of the Privy Council - an act no politician has attempted before - has changed the rules of the game, politically and culturally. What was once unimaginable has become an everyday reality. What was once considered sacred, even inviolable, has been made profane. What is "possible" in the name of politics has been extended to reach even where it has never been applied before.

One need not be a supporter of Thaksin Shinawatra to feel the presence of the new possibilities. And messy though it seems, open debate is a sign of progress in a democracy.

Still, one must also be mature enough to differentiate between principles and the individual. One can agree with some of what Thaksin is saying without having to support his political fight, for example.

The nuance can hold the key to a peaceful transition from the protracted conflict and political turmoil.

As the political contest threatens to come to a head this week, the authorities' reaction is more crucial than ever. If they look at the Red march and see only blind lovers of Thaksin or paid protesters, they would miss a chance to steer the conflict in a direction where constructive resolution, not just a dead end, could be possible.

Some serious questions must be asked if people who genuinely love democracy, freedom of expression and accountability have no choice but to join the Red protest. For a start, why has Thaksin and democracy been made to become one and the same? How has Thaksin come to monopolise the democratic ideals when he did not symbolise or promote any of them when he was in power? Is the Red protest becoming an umbrella for people of all kinds of political leaning except authoritarianism? If so, is there something at work that is pushing people away to that side?

On a side note: it is possible that the whole Red Surge is but a plan for Thaksin to maximise his bargaining power before he finally agrees to sit down at a negotiating table. That sounds like a more sensible option than a bloody clash and Pyrrhic victory for either camp.

However, even if a negotiation does take place, it does not necessarily mean the Red Spirit will be put to rest. There are red-clad liberals who insist that their joining the movement is not about Thaksin at all but because they are either sick of the military coups d'etat or the injustice in society. How do we cope with that?

Tolerance, I think, is the key. There is no need to be fearful and to try to suppress or prosecute people who think differently. Doing so would further polarise the public and re-create the dangerous paranoia of the '70s with its disastrous outcomes. Instead of lumping everyone who embraces freedom of expression and accountability into the Red camp, the government and relevant authorities would do better by engaging these people.

Instead of trying to gag differences of opinion or suppress ones that are viewed as sensitive, it might be a better idea to try to open things up. Give public space or forums for people from various backgrounds and political ideologies to express their ideas. That way, we can probably find a new agenda for the country that goes beyond the current conflict of personalities, that is capable of accommodating the vision and dreams of the majority of the people.

Ultimately, it will not be Thaksin and Co who are able to paint the whole town red. It will be the continued suppression of a desire for change and free flow of information and ideas that will.

  • Atiya Achakulwisut is Editorial Pages Editor, Bangkok Post.

About the author

Writer: Atiya Achakulwisut

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  • Hope K

    Discussion 5 : 07/04/2009 at 04:27 PM5

    I very much applaud Khun Atiya's sane and nuanced views on the current political situation. Matured leadership needs to recognize that its legitimacy lies with the majority perceiving it as sharing the majority's values and views. Time and again, events reveal that what is sacred are not institutions and personalities. What is sacred are long-held values placed on the opportunities to be heard, to be accounted for (not invisible), to be respected and most importantly, to be able to hope for a better future (for the common people and their children). Only a contemporary government that has the necessary wisdom, moral courage and integrity would be able to manoeuvre and channel these dynamics for the larger good and prevent impostors from using these sub-conscious human needs for their own end.

  • soveny

    Discussion 4 : 07/04/2009 at 03:46 PM4

    Yes Atiya, it seems the red shirts have decided to paint the country red with their shirts and they hopefully will put an end to the red colour the Army and the old establishment used to paint with. The red shirts are, as you point it out, not solely fighting for Thaksin, but for necessary changes in society for a large group of people. Lets hope for progress tomorrow, lets hope we dont have to see any more of the Army-red painting in the future. But the decision is not in the hands of Thaksin or the red shirts. It is in the hands of the conservative strongholds. If those conservative fractions remain fanatic, anything may happen and nothing will be solved!

  • TonyChonburi

    Discussion 3 : 07/04/2009 at 03:26 PM3

    Good writing indeed. I agree with you all.

  • jinaree

    Discussion 2 : 07/04/2009 at 02:44 PM2

    If the yellow shirts with less than 20,000 can make a difference, I would hope that 300,000 protesters would signal Abhisit and his team to step down. The way he earned the prime minister position is not justifiable. Everyone knows who is behind the work. If Abhisit and his team are confident, I would encourage the re-election to stop the madness. Everyone needs to grow up and accept the outcome of the people's choice. The army's role is to protect the country. The court is to bring justice without any form of interference. The police maintain law and order. Everyone has their own reponsibility. If he/she does his/her own thing, the nation would be at peace. Do not cross the line! Amen!

  • CONFUSED

    Discussion 1 : 07/04/2009 at 02:23 PM1

    Dear Khun Atiya,

    As always I like your column, you raise some very good points and your anlaysis, at least to me, supports my 'theory' that many people are quite lost and confused.

    Perhaps right now is the start of the 'era', in the long never ending journey to build and maintain democracy, the era where more people are starting to think and to analyse and to see/define what factors/discussion points are real and solid rather than blind following of a person/personality.

    If I may, I'd like to comment on your words, as follows: You wrote "How has Thaksin come to monopolise the democratic ideals when he did not symbolise or promote any of them when he was in power? Is the Red protest becoming an umbrella for people of all kinds of political leaning except authoritarianism? If so, is there something at work that is pushing people away to that side?" Wow, interesting, especially your words about "Is the Red protest becoming an umbrella for people of all kinds of political leaning except authoritarianism?" Surely it's true that the rich families of Thailand and the members of political clubs (business networks) have in the past had been a very very strong influence on the establishment of laws and more particularly the spread of wealth therefore power and we could perhaps call them authoritarian. Another analsis is that the Red Shirts themselves are trying to be authoritarian and refuse to listen to other comment/opinion (e.g. Chiang Mai, Ubon. and more.) Thaksin himself tried to be very authoritarian in his period as PM (read dictator)(but of course now wants to proclaim himself as the champion of democracy).

    Personally I find the claim by the UDD that they are anti-coup to be quite a puzzle. The UDD/Chiang Mai 51 group, recently forced (sic forced) the break up of an approved anti AIDS parade. If we said that anti-authoritarian is somehow similar in broad meaning to anti-coup, then that means the UDD have broken their own mantra.

    Further, regarding anti-coup, I see another analyis. In the political history of Thailand, since 1932, there has never been a real democratic government and I'm thinking more in terms who has made up the 'elected' legislature.

    Has it been dominated by people who are there solely to promote discussion, social values, laws which will build, reinforce and maintain an egalitarian civil society, with equality and fair/equal justice for all?

    No. In fact even now most members of parliamnet are in fact people who have paid their dues to enter a 'boys club' which gives them access to
    the spoils'. Corruption, nepoptism, and cronyism take the limelight. In reality a very large percentage of these people are not capable of broad analysis and definition of what would be desireable as a 'good' society and what needs to change to get to the desired state. Further, those who have paid their subscription for to the 'boys club' can't think past getting a monetary return on investment, meaning that coruuption etc., becomes rampant. Vote buying of course also a strong factor in this scenario, part of the mechanmism/cost of getting into and remaining in the 'boys club'. Nothing else matters, nothing else is in their thinking or activities.

    Given the above, there is an important question: do we still need an ultimate watchdog, to step in when all of the above is rampantly out of control and through authoritarian power the checks and balanes have been destroyed or bought.

    Right now, to be very honest I'm still of the opinion that we do still a watchdog, and maybe it is the military. But of course we need to hope and pray that the military, if they do step-in, are nice guys who have Thailand at heart.

    When will all of this change to the point where there is absolutely no need to have an ultimate watchdog?

    The answer is quite easy, when most Thai people stop sitting on the fence and start to think more about their resposnibilities in trems of building and maintaining a civil society thru democracy and raise their voice when they see even the slighest possibility of abuse of power, etc. Involvement.

    In a recent poll most Thai people said they were sick of politics. I read the poll as saying they weren't interested in politics. In fact I was quite disappointed in the questions in the poll which had no insight at all.

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