Low birth rates test Japan, S Korea | Bangkok Post: opinion

Opinion > Opinion

Low birth rates test Japan, S Korea

  • Published: | Viewed: 2,258 | Comments: 3
  • Newspaper section: News
  • Writer: Brad Glosserman
- +

There is, at long last, a solution to the troubles that beset the Japan-Republic of Korea (ROK) relationship: Patience. 

In this case, patience doesn't mean waiting a couple of months or a year until the leaderships in Tokyo and Seoul recognise the damage they are doing to their relationship; nor does it mean waiting a few years until new governments take office in each capital; neither does it mean waiting a few generations until the anger and animosity burn themselves out. No, patience in this case means waiting 600 years or so, when the population of South Korea vanishes and another half century when that of Japan does the same.

A recent simulation commissioned by the ROK National Assembly extrapolated current demographic trends — the average South Korean woman bears 1.25 children, well below the replacement rate of 2.1 children — to show that the South Korean population will disappear by 2750. Japanese celebrations will be muted: the average fertility rate there is just 1.4 children per woman, meaning that the Japanese population will vanish around 3100. Japan will only outlast the ROK because its current population is almost double ROK's.

This article is older than 60 days, which we reserve for our premium members only.You can subscribe to our premium member subscription, here.

3 people commented about the above

Readers are urged not to submit comments that may cause legal dispute including slanderous, vulgar or violent language, incorrectly spelt names, discuss moderation action, quotes with no source or anything deemed critical of the monarchy. More information in our terms of use.

Please use our forum for more candid, lengthy, conversational and open discussion between one another.

  • Latest
  • Oldest
  • Most replied to
  • Most liked
  • Most disliked

    Click here to view more comments