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Materials benefit
from building upturn
Returns on investment show remarkable growth
in the past year to June
Busrin Treerapongpichit
The prospects of the building and furnishing materials sector
look promising over the next six to 12 months, on the back
of the continuing recovery of the property business since
late last year, industry executives say.
The sector produced impressive average returns
of 106.9% to investors over the past one year, against 16.2%
over five years but only 1.5% over 10 years.
Siam Cement Plc, accounting for 54% of the
sector's capitalisation, outperformed the sector over five
years with a TSR of 20%, and has delivered an annualised 7%
over 10 years. Its one-year return to June 30 was 126%.
Karat Sanitary Ware Plc topped the one-year
table at 529%, followed by Dynasty Ceramic Plc (364%) and
Thai-German Ceramic Plc (353%). Dynasty is the top performer
over five years with a 122.1% return.
Building materials, particularly those used
in single detached houses, had enjoyed impressive growth since
demand for houses had risen considerably, said Wanthana Jaroennawarat,
deputy managing director of Vanachai Group Plc, one of the
top performers in the sector with a 321% one-year return,
83% over three years and 29% over five years.
That's good news for companies in a sector
that had been struggling since the property business started
to slow down in 1996 and came to a virtual standstill a year
later.
Ms Wanthana said Vanachai Group, one of the
country's largest producers of particle board and medium density
fibre (MDF) board, had a policy to provide investors with
long-term returns.
Company policy calls for an annual dividend
to be paid at the end of the year, at a rate of 40% of net
profit. However, the company paid the dividend for the first
half of this year because of greatly improved performance.
Its first-half net profit was 552.2 million baht (5.64 baht
a share), compared with 326.8 million baht (3.33 baht a share)
in the same period last year.
Even during the economic slowdown, the MDF
board industry continued to grow since Thailand is a major
source of raw materials for production worldwide. Export demand
has been consistently good, while domestic demand has risen
dramatically in the past year, resulting in the firm enjoying
an outstanding performance. However, Ms Wanthana acknowledged
that whether the company would be able to consistently deliver
long-term returns to investors depended on overall demand
and economic conditions as well.
Wit Viriyaprapaikit, executive vice-president
of Sahaviriya Steel Industries Plc (SSI), said the outlook
for the sector remained promising since the construction of
housing in particular had improved since late last year.
He forecast an upturn in office buildings
within another year or two, once the current oversupply was
taken up.
SSI showed impressive returns of 133% for
a one-year investment period although it was -12% over five
years, reflecting the struggles of the company and the steel
industry in general during the economic crisis.
While the steady recovery of the construction
industry bodes well, Mr Wit said the performance and returns
of individual companies would depend on what types of materials
they produced.
He said steel products were categorised as
heavy industry requiring huge capital investments. Thailand's
steel companies have been struggling since the 1997 crisis,
while a worldwide product glut has further exacerbated conditions.
However, local and overseas demand for steel
has begun to improve along with the country's economy since
early this year. As a result, SSI's revenues have stabilised
and it has returned to the black. The company's recorded a
first-half net profit of one billion baht (1.17 baht a share),
compared with a loss of 261.6 million baht (0.31 baht a share)
in the same period last year.
With a cautious attitude toward future investment
and conservative management style, Mr Wit said SSI should
be able to give investors improved returns in the long run.
An analyst at Kim Eng Securities agreed the
building and furnishing materials sector had a promising outlook.
Siam Cement Group was expected to benefit
most because it had integrated businesses linked to the markets
and its debt restructuring and corporate reorganisation programmes
had been completed, the analyst said. _Busrin Treerapongpichit
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