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 SHAREHOLDER : SCORECARD - Friday, 30 August 2002


Picking the winners

Stock investors have enjoyed a pleasant surprise for the year to date, with the Stock Exchange of Thailand index up 20% since January.


Meet L.E.K. Consulting
L.E.K. Consulting is an international corporate advisory firm with around 450 professionals worldwide. The company is run as a single resource unit with 15 offices throughout Europe, the United States and Asia-Pacific. There are more than 60 professionals in the Asia-Pacific region, based in Sydney, Melbourne, Auckland, Singapore, Bangkok, Shanghai and Beijing.


The dominators
On size alone, the banking sector dominates the Stock Exchange of Thailand at nearly 30% of total market capitalisation. Institutional investors considering taking a position in Thailand inevitably must look to local banks, not just on account of size, but due to their general position as a proxy for the economy as a whole.


It's all about value
The primary objective of a business is to create economic value for investors or shareholders, while also recognising the needs of other stakeholders such as employees, suppliers, the community, the environment and debt providers.


Brokers and lenders cautous
The performance of finance and securities companies improved significantly on the back of an improving economy and stock market, but uncertainty caused by external factors could be a drag on sustained growth in the second half.


Worst performer but solid fundamentals
The clouds over the communications sector, the worst performer this year on the Stock Exchange of Thailand with an average total shareholder return of -24.2%, are expected to lift slightly by December.


All systems go for carriers
Stabilised freight rates coupled with foreign-exchange gains are expected to improve revenues and profits of listed shipping firms and Thailand's national airline, while lower financial costs and a rise in expressway commuters will lift the revenue of Bangkok Expressway Co.


Higher premiums boost profitability
The Sept 11 events sparked a sharp lift in insurance premiums, especially for high-risk properties. And customers in Thailand did not escape the fall-out.


Threadbare years still have impact
Listed companies in the textiles, clothing and footwear sector have not been among investors' favourites in recent years as few of the firms have been able to show signs of a sustainable recovery from the economic crisis of 1997-98.



Second-best SET performer over the past decade
The pulp and paper sector ranks second only to communications in providing the best returns over 10 years to investors on the Stock Exchange of Thailand, at 15.7%.


Power back on but results are mixed
The first half of this year has been the start of a comeback story for the global electronics industry. Rising local capacity utilisation rates and a sharper-than-expected pickup in sales have been cause for optimism about the electronic components sector on the SET


Stronger baht clips export giants
Unlike last year, listed companies in the SET agribusiness sector are not figuring as prominently in the investor spotlight, mainly due to the appreciation of the baht, food safety concerns and falling world prices.


Mixed pickings on the menu

Better prospects for expanded domestic consumption are likely to drive the food and beverage sector this year, but shares of listed companies in the group still remain unattractive to investors, except for those of Thai Union Frozen Products (TUF) and the Minor Food Group (MFG).


Investor applause greets improved perferformances
Listed entertainment and recreation companies have received a warm welcome from investors in recent years, but three of the nine companies in the sector tend to attract the lion's share of attention.


Some plums for picking in quiet field
Despite the government's policy to aggressively promote tourism, shares of listed hotel companies are not considered attractive as they provide a lower return on investment than in the overall market.


Phoenix rises from ashes
The continuing improvement of the property market has pushed up the performances of major listed developers, making their shares very attractive to investors and offering the highest returns on investment on the SET over the past year.


Materials benefit from building upturn
The prospects of the building and furnishing materials sector look promising over the next six to 12 months, on the back of the continuing recovery of the property business since late last year, industry executives say.


Fashion leads in tight market
Listed commerce firms were largely overlooked by investors given the likely return on investment in a climate of intense competition and low consumer buying power.


Defensive stocks
The energy sector remains promising with stable revenues in the long run, but in terms of returns to investors, a handful of listed companies in the sector stand out. They include Unique Gas, Banpu Plc, Lanna Resources and PTT Exploration and Production Plc.


Upturn in sector's business cycle is eagerly awaited
Long-term prospects for the petrochemical sector are improving with the 12 listed companies making solid headway in restructuring their debts and cutting production bottlenecks.




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