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Total Shareholder Return : the key to value
Growth in share prices is often used as a
guide to the rate of return to sharholders, but this can be
misleading as investors receive returns in a number of other
ways, including dividends, simple capital transactions such
as rights issues, and complex capital changes such as share
restructuring.
A single, composite measure is required to
combine them, and this is the purpose of the Total Shareholder
Return (TSR).
In this, the inaugural L.E.K. Consulting/Bangkok
Post Share holder Scorecard, listed Thai companies are compared
using this measure, based on basic financial data provided
by Reuters (Thailand) and Datasteam of Thomson Fianacial.
It is defined as the annualised total return
to shareholders from maintaining their investment in a stock
over a period. Maintaining the investment means not taking
any net cash out during the period. This involves immediately
reinvesting all cash receipts (such as devidends), participating
in all capital transactions (such as rights issues) and selling
stock as required, so as not to contribute any new capital.
Let's look at the TSR for Thai Union Frozen Products (TUF).
As of June 30, 200, the company had a share price of 83.50
baht.
In September 2000, TUF incurred a one-for-two
stock split. During the following full-year period, TUF paid
5.10 baht to shareholders in dividends. The ending share price
for the company was 68.50 baht per share on June 30 this year.
Based on these results, an investment of 1,000
baht of TUF shares (approximately 12 shares at 83.50 baht)
at June 30, 200, with 122 baht in dividends (including price
appreciation on shares boutht when dividents were re-invested)
during the period, and a value of the share holding at June
30, 2001 was 1,640 baht. There fore, the total value of the
investment at the end of the 12-month period is 1,762 baht
giving a 76.2% Total Share holder Return.
However, consideration must also be given
to the risk profile of companies when comparing their relative
performance. Naturally, investors expect a higher rate of
return from companies with higher levels of risk. For example,
they will have different expectations for returns from a mobile-phone
company comared with an exporter of food products.
To make some allowance for risk, the Scorcard
groups companies by industry, using the sectors defined by
the Stock Exchange of Thailand.
TSR queries: score@lek.com
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