World Bank: Economic recovery will take at least 2 years

World Bank: Economic recovery will take at least 2 years

A disinfection robot at work at the Bangkok International Trade and Exhibition Centre in Bang Na district, Bangkok, last week. The World Bank on Tuesday predicted the Thai economy will shrink at least 8.3% this year, because of the coronavirus disease pandemic. (Photo: Somchai Poomlard)
A disinfection robot at work at the Bangkok International Trade and Exhibition Centre in Bang Na district, Bangkok, last week. The World Bank on Tuesday predicted the Thai economy will shrink at least 8.3% this year, because of the coronavirus disease pandemic. (Photo: Somchai Poomlard)

The Thai economy will shrink at least 8.3% this year and take at least two years to return to its pre-Covid level, according to the World Bank.

However, recovery could be derailed by drought, flooding or a second wave of Covid-19, the bank warned, 

Kiatipong Ariyapruchya, World Bank senior economist for Thailand, released the bank's  economic update on East Asia and the  Pacific on Tuesday.

He warned that a second wave of the coronavirus disease, plus drought and flooding, could cause the economy to shrink by up to 10.4% year-on-year this year, and recovery to the pre-Covid level could then take as long as three years.

A second wave of the disease would affect exports, tourism and the finance sector, and businesses would be again forced to shut down, like they did in March, he said.

Economic risks came from the unavailability of a Covid-19 vaccine, political uncertainty and the slow disbursement of government investment in infrastructure projects. Only half the investment budgets were disbursed, Mr Kiatipong said.

Birgit Hansl, World Bank manager for Thailand, said although economic stimulus planning was  to spend the equivalent of 8-13% of gross domestic product, only 4% of GDP was actually injected into the economy.

The World Bank predicted the economy would grow by 3.5-4.9% next year.


Do you like the content of this article?
COMMENT (31)

65 caught in Bangkok pub raid

Sixty-five Thais and foreign nationals were arrested early Saturday at a pub off Sukhumvit Road in Bangkok for violating the emergency decree and a City Hall closure order to contain the spread of Covid-19.

18:23

Merkel's party picks centrist successor

BERLIN: Germany’s dominant party voted for continuity on Saturday by electing Armin Laschet, a centrist regional premier, to succeed Angela Merkel, Europe’s longest-serving leader.

18:06

Norway flags vaccine risk in the very old

Covid-19 vaccines may be too risky for the very old, frail and terminally ill, say health regulators in Norway, where 23 people have died shortly after receiving their first shot.

17:04