Second half to witness more business closures

Second half to witness more business closures

SMEs particularly at risk, says EconThai

People affected by the pandemic register for unemployment compensation at the Social Security Office. Varuth Hirunyatheb
People affected by the pandemic register for unemployment compensation at the Social Security Office. Varuth Hirunyatheb

Thailand can expect another wave of business closures in the second half of 2020 as the economic consequences of the pandemic, lockdown and withdrawal of tourists reverberate nationwide, says the Employers' Confederation of Thai Trade and Industry (EconThai).

The group bases its prediction on weak individual purchasing power, a global economic slowdown dealing a blow to the export sector and the dim prospects for the economy as outlined by the Bank of Thailand.

The government's order to suspend business activities only froze them for a while, but these factors may force certain businesses to shut down permanently because they cannot afford operating costs, said EconThai vice-chairman Tanit Sorat.

The number of firms succumbing to financial ills is inconclusive, but Mr Tanit reckons that "many businesses" will barely survive and that small and medium-sized enterprises especially may struggle to avoid laying off workers.

Although the government has begun easing the lockdown, with a plan to allow further businesses, including internet cafes and bars, to reopen, the domestic economy may not recover to a satisfactory level.

"EconThai is worried that many businesses will reopen only to face the low purchasing power of the people," Mr Tanit said.

Those overseas are likely in a similar situation. Thailand's economic growth or contraction will depend on what happens on a global scale, according to EconThai.

The Commerce Ministry on Wednesday acknowledged for the first time that the country's exports could shrink by more than 5% for the full year after a 22.5% year-on-year plunge in May.

Mr Tanit urged the government to closely monitor the economy in the post-pandemic period. He cited a forecast by the Bank of Thailand saying the domestic economy would contract by 8.1% this year, a significant worsening from the 5.3% seen by the Monetary Policy Committee in March.


Do you like the content of this article?
COMMENT (12)

Buri Ram village locked down

BURI RAM: The provincial communicable disease committee has ordered the 14-day lockdown of Ban Khok Sa-ad in tambon Pang Ku of Prakhon Chai district, where two people were found infected with Covid-19. One of them died.

11:36

Buyout offer

Gulf Energy Development, led by billionaire Sarath Ratanavadi, launches a 169 billion baht bid for Intouch Holdings, which controls the country's largest mobile phone operator, AIS.

11:25

Thailand adds 3 deaths, 1,390 Covid cases Monday

The government on Monday recorded three additional Covid-19 fatalities and 1,394 new infections, all but six transmitted inside Thailand. The kingdom has now logged 104 coronavirus deaths and 43,742 cases since the start of the pandemic in January 2020.

11:23