Give up already, Srettha
Re: "PT rebuffs wallet warning," (BP, Feb 9), "NACC says policy, other risks abound," (BP, Feb 8), & "Soft or hard landing for Thai economy?", (Opinion, Feb 8).
Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin should give up trying to flog a dead horse, also known as the B10K digital wallet handout, and move on to more feasible ways of stimulating our economy. We're not in the economic crisis that the Pheu Thai Party/Srettha claim we're in.
As the National Anti-Corruption Commission secretary-general noted, the Bank of Thailand, World Bank and International Monetary Fund all concluded that our economy hasn't reached crisis stage, but remains sluggish.
Supporting this conclusion, our Board of Investments reported that applications for BOI investment promotion hit a five-year high of 848 billion baht in 2023, up 43% from 2022's adjusted number.
The Tourism Authority of Thailand anticipates a resurgence of Chinese tourists in 2024, with a 2024 target of 8.2 million people, generating 450 billion baht in income; this is more than double the estimated 3.5 million Chinese tourists of 2023. In addition, tourist income in secondary cities saw a leap of 40% or more in 2023 over 2022.
The Bank of Thailand forecasts that 2023's GDP rise of 2.4% will be bested by 2024's figure of 3.2%. The World Bank headlined, "Thai Economy to recover in 2024, driven by tourism, exports recovery", with GDP growth forecasts of 2.5% (2023) and 3.2% (2024). Even Srettha's Financial Policy Office forecasts an improved economy, rising from 2.7% (2023) to 3.2% (2024).
I note that instead of answering the NACC's points on their merits, the Pheu Thai Party has brushed them aside, saying the NACC should have waited until damage had been done.
Also, Srettha refuses to present his economic model's critical assumptions for review. For example, what multiplier effect is assumed -- and why? Wouldn't an economically rational person spend much of his windfall gain on reducing his average household debt of B501,711 -- a 16-year high -- or buy at the nearest 7-11 convenience shop, with profits going straight to CP Corp? Move on, Srettha. Surely you have more feasible projects.